updated perimeter map


[click image]


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And radically more hotspots than yesterday. It hit 85º here, yesterday, and that means it will have been much hotter over most of the fire area... at minimum 90º where there is still the most fire activity... the part nearest me, of course... but if we believe this map, nothing is very far out of the "controlled" perimeter.

Even if this is so, that they've got it inbounds, a gust of wind will change that, or a failure to recover enough humidity soon enough.

It's cooler at my house today, thank God, but I'm pretty sure this doesn't extend up into the fire country. It's 80º up in Gasquet right now, and that's usually comparable to the temperatures in the area eaten so far by the Chetco Bar fire. Might help a bit down on the edges where it's still actively burning because they're closer to where the marine layer extends, but, truly, almost every day the marine layer is sparing us on the coast, go as little as two miles inland, sometimes even less, and you are hitting a wall of heat like to melt little daisies like me.

...

Notwithstanding anything I have to say,
12 hours: Poor night time humidity will increase the opportunity for continued mostly interior smokes.

24 hours: Warmer temperatures and low humidity will increase the opportunity for continued interior smoldering.

48 hours: Cold front arrival should bring cooler temperatures, higher humidity, and a chance of light rain, which combines with lessen fire danger and any remaining smoldering.

72 hours: Cooler more humid weather and slight chance of showers will further reduce fire danger and any continued smoldering.

Anticipated after 72 hours: Cooler more humid weather and slight chance of showers will further reduce fire danger and any continued smoldering. Wetting rains anticipated early to mid-week next week.
they are still relying on the weather, when there's no good reason to be doing that.


pipe up any time....